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Impact of agricultural development on food security and water vulnerability under climate change in the Zambezi Basin

Understanding the food-water-energy complex in the Zambezi River Basin.
Project Brief
Project Name: Impact of agricultural development on food security and water vulnerability under climate change in the Zambezi Basin
Geographic coverage:Zambezi River Basin in Africa
Funding Source: National Nature Science Foundation of China and UNEP joint programme
Project Period: 2016-2020
Project Status: Closing
Background

As the fourth largest basin in Africa, Zambezi basin suffered from poverty and serious food security in last decades. More hydropower and agricultural development plans were developed in recent years to promote development. Meanwhile, hydropower and agriculture expansion would consume more water, and water resources are more vulnerability under the changing climate.As the fourth largest basin in Africa, Zambezi basin suffered from poverty and serious food security in last decades. More hydropower and agricultural development plans were developed in recent years to promote development. Meanwhile, hydropower and agriculture expansion would consume more water, and water resources are more vulnerability under the changing climate.

Objective

This project will tackle the interaction among food, water and energy to assess impact of agricultural development on food security and water vulnerability under climate change in Beira corridor and the Zambezi River Basin in Africa. This project will tackle the interaction among food, water and energy to assess impact of agricultural development on food security and water vulnerability under climate change in Beira corridor and the Zambezi River Basin in Africa. 

Actions & Expected Outcomes
  • Study the spatial and temporal variations of water consumption and crop production considering agricultural and hydropower development plans in Zambezi basin; analyze the impact of agricultural and hydropower plans on water resource allocation& competition, and its trade off in different sub-basins and different countries of the river basin; so as to make a comprehensive assessment on agricultural and hydropower development.
  • Analysis the crop dynamics between 1991 and 2015 in the study area,assess the suitable crops under the the climate change trend, estimate the potential risk of food security and water vulnerability under current crop pattern, and recommend adjustment of crop structure and crop area under the constraints of water and power availability. 
  • Estimate impact on water resources and food security under the changing climate and projected food demand, assess of soybean production and exportable potential; 
  • Propose recommendations to improve the agricultural resilience and strengthen the risk management in Zambezi basin.  

For more information, please contact: wubf@radi.ac.cn